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Introduction This practical is the third (and last) part of a practical which simulates the early assessment and reconstruction of an Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak. Please make sure you have gone through part 1 and part 2 before starting part 3. In part 3 of the practical, we give an introduction to transmission chain reconstruction using outbreaker2. Note: This practical is derived from earlier practicals called Ebola simulation part 1: early outbreak assessment and Ebola simulation part 2: outbreak reconstruction ...

Introduction This practical is the second (out of three) part of a practical which simulates the early assessment and reconstruction of an Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak. Please make sure you have gone through part 1 before starting part 2. In part 2 of the practical, we introduce various aspects of analysis of the early stage of an outbreak, including growth rate estimation, contact tracing data, delays, and estimates of transmissibility. ...

Introduction This practical (in three parts) simulates the early assessment and reconstruction of an Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak. It introduces various aspects of analysis of the early stage of an outbreak, including case fatality ratio (CFR), epicurves (part 1), growth rate estimation, contact tracing data, delays, and estimates of transmissibility (part 2), as well as transmission chain reconstruction using outbreaker2 (part 3). Note: This practical is derived from earlier practicals called Ebola simulation part 1: early outbreak assessment and Ebola simulation part 2: outbreak reconstruction ...

Introducción Esta práctica (en tres partes) simula la evaluación temprana y la reconstrucción de un brote de enfermedad por el virus del Ébola (EVE). Introduce varios aspectos del análisis de la etapa inicial de un brote, incluida la tasa de letalidad (CFR por sus siglas en inglés de Case Fatality Ratio), curvas epidemiológicas (parte 1), estimación de la tasa de crecimiento, datos del rastreo de contactos, retrasos y estimaciones de transmisibilidad (parte 2), así como la reconstrucción de la cadena de transmisión mediante el uso de outbreaker2 (parte 3). ...

This practical aims to illustrate the basics of vector borne disease (VBD) modelling using R, with an emphasis on how the methods work. We will use a basic model for an arboviral infection as an example. In this practical we will begin by gaining some understanding of the components which contribute to $R_0$ and how potential interventions influence transmission. Later in the practical you will construct a model of Zika transmission to look at the effects of several parameters. ...

El objetivo de esta práctica es presentar los conceptos básicos del modelado de Enfermedades Transmitidas por Vectores o VBD (por sus siglas en inglés Vector Borne Disease) mediante el uso del programa R, con énfasis en el funcionamiento de los métodos; utilizando como ejemplo un modelo básico de infección por arbovirus. En esta práctica, se comenzará por comprender los componentes que contribuyen a $R_0$ y cómo las posibles intervenciones influyen en la transmisión. ...