Practicals

This practical aims to illustrate the basics of vector borne disease (VBD) modelling using R, with an emphasis on how the methods work. We will use a basic model for an arboviral infection as an example. In this practical we will begin by gaining some understanding of the components which contribute to $R_0$ and how potential interventions influence transmission. Later in the practical you will construct a model of Zika transmission to look at the effects of several parameters. ...

El objetivo de esta práctica es presentar los conceptos básicos del modelado de Enfermedades Transmitidas por Vectores o VBD (por sus siglas en inglés Vector Borne Disease) mediante el uso del programa R, con énfasis en el funcionamiento de los métodos; utilizando como ejemplo un modelo básico de infección por arbovirus. En esta práctica, se comenzará por comprender los componentes que contribuyen a $R_0$ y cómo las posibles intervenciones influyen en la transmisión. ...

Introducción El presente tutorial es parte de los materiales de pre-curso “Curso corto sobre análisis y modelización de brotes para la salud pública.” El objetivo es presentar a los estudiantes los conceptos básicos de R y R Studio, con el fin de obtener algunos conocimientos básicos en la programación de R y R. Instalando R y R Studio R es un entorno de software libre y RStudio es un entorno gratuito y de código abierto para trabajar en R. ...

Introduction This tutorial is part of the pre-course materials of a “Short Course on Outbreak Analysis and Modelling for Public Health.” The aim is to introduce students to the very basic concepts of R and R Studio, in order to get some baseline knowledge in R and R programming. Installing R and R Studio R is a free software environment and RStudio is a free and open-source environment for working in R. ...

Motivation At which time point during an outbreak of a person-to-person transmitted disease can one declare the outbreak as having ended? Answering this question can be important in order to calm the population, re-attract tourists, stop export bans or reduce alertness status. The current WHO method for answering the above question is as follows: a period of two times the longest possible incubation time needs to pass without observing additional cases, before the outbreak can be declared as being over. ...

This practical is the second part of the response to a simulated Ebola Virus Disease (EVD) outbreak taking place in the city of Ankh, Republic of Morporkia. While the first part focussed on early assessments of transmissibility, this part explores more methodological options for estimating transmissibility, and provides an introduction to outbreak reconstruction using outbreaker2. An update on the EVD outbreak in Ankh, Republic of Morporkia After some rather concerning preliminary results on the new EVD outbreak in the city of Ankh, Republic of Morporkia, Public Health Morporkia (PHM) has sent you updates of the linelists and contact data. ...